Output raises yet again from May possibly 2006 to July 2006, as prices 1st drop, after which crest inside the $70s on dread of war with Iran or hurricanes during the Gulf. I interpret this as almost certainly the onset on the Haradh megaproject.
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Manufacturing resumes declining , more quickly now, from Feb to May 2006. This is going on from the encounter of selling prices escalating sharply. I think this is likely resulting from worsening issues in North Ghawar, while that cannot be verified further than a reasonable doubt.
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It doesn't appear to me that, from a timing standpoint, this phenomenon is nicely positioned to elucidate any declines that offset what ever fraction with the 690kbd of Qatif megaproject production came on in late 2004 and early 2005 (zones B-D).